NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VVV
2 - 2
NEC
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 4
NEC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 3
TWE
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 2
NEC
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 6
TWE
14%
21%
66%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
RJC
3 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |