NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
TWE
4 - 0
NEC
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 0
RJC
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 0
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 2
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
NEC
2 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 0
WIL
52%
23%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 4
AZA
21%
23%
57%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 0
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 1
RJC
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |