NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
22%
58%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 0
ADO
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
UDI
30%
24%
45%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 2
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 2
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SPA
4 - 1
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TWE
6 - 2
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |