Eerste Divisie round 27

NEC Nijmegen vs Roda JC analysis

NEC Nijmegen Roda JC
74 ELO 68
18.9% Tilt 14.4%
185º General ELO ranking 767º
Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
56.3%
NEC Nijmegen
21.7%
Draw
22%
Roda JC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
NEC Nijmegen
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22%
Win probability
Roda JC
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NEC Nijmegen
-9%
-18%
Roda JC

ELO progression

NEC Nijmegen
Roda JC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2015
ACH
Achilles 29
1 - 3
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
17%
22%
61%
73 54 19 0
13 Feb. 2015
FCE
Emmen
2 - 3
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
33%
25%
42%
73 64 9 0
09 Feb. 2015
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
5 - 2
Jong PSV
PSV
72%
18%
10%
72 57 15 +1
06 Feb. 2015
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
0 - 3
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
22%
25%
53%
71 59 12 +1
01 Feb. 2015
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
3 - 1
Helmond Sport
HEL
72%
17%
11%
71 58 13 0

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2015
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 1
VVV Venlo
VVV
63%
21%
16%
68 63 5 0
16 Feb. 2015
JON
Jong Ajax
3 - 3
Roda JC
RJC
30%
24%
46%
69 61 8 -1
09 Feb. 2015
RJC
Roda JC
3 - 2
FC Volendam
VOL
47%
24%
30%
68 67 1 +1
06 Feb. 2015
EIN
FC Eindhoven
0 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
44%
24%
32%
67 67 0 +1
01 Feb. 2015
MVV
MVV Maastricht
3 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
19%
22%
59%
68 55 13 -1