NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ZWO
1 - 1
NEC
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 4
FEY
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 2
NEC
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 0
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
GAE
38%
30%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
GAE
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
GAE
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GAE
0 - 2
RKC
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
GAE
1 - 2
BOR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |