NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 1
LEV
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 1
NEC
12%
17%
71%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
VVV
3 - 1
NEC
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 1
JON
78%
14%
7%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
BOS
1 - 3
NEC
14%
22%
64%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
FCO
1 - 1
EXC
28%
24%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 4
AZA
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 2
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
PSV
23%
22%
55%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |