NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
NEC
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
MLL
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FEY
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NEC
5 - 0
RJC
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 1
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 4
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 1
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |