NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 4
NEC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 3
TWE
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 0
NEC
53%
25%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 0
RKC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 3
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |