NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 2
NEC
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
BBU
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 1
NEC
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
NEC
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 2
VIT
48%
24%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PSV
4 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
MUD
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |