NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 2
SCH
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
0 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
RKC
0 - 1
NEC
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NEC
2 - 0
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ADO
0 - 2
NEC
42%
26%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
70%
18%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
ZUL
0 - 3
AJA
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |