NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
NEC
1 - 2
TWE
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
GRO
4 - 0
NEC
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
NAC
0 - 1
NEC
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
NEC
0 - 1
SCH
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
WIL
1 - 2
NEC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
50%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRO
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
UTR
1 - 7
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1997 |
FOR
0 - 5
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |