NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
NEC
0 - 0
MVV
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
ADO
0 - 0
NEC
71%
17%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
NEC
4 - 0
SVV
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
TEL
0 - 1
NEC
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
NAP
1 - 0
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
ADO
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
SVV
0 - 6
AJA
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
RCH
1 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
AJA
4 - 1
TEL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |