NEC Nijmegen Sub 21 vs Excelsior Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
5 - 2
NEC
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
NEC
3 - 2
CAM
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
RKC
1 - 2
NEC
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
NEC
2 - 1
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 4
CAM
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
FYN
0 - 3
EXC
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
RKC
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
EXC
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
EXC
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |