Neapolis vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAN
3 - 1
NEA
34%
25%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
3 - 2
NEA
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 1
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
NEA
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
GIU
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 1
FON
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ACI
2 - 0
APR
32%
25%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 1
ARZ
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GAV
0 - 1
APR
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 0
VIG
36%
25%
38%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |