Navbahor vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
3º
45
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 2
ALH
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 1
NAV
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 0
BUN
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 3
NAV
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 1
NAS
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
QIZ
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
NEF
5 - 0
FKE
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
NEF
20%
27%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 1
FKO
46%
26%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BUN
2 - 1
NEF
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |