Navas del Rey vs Peña Madridista 3000 Goles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.1%
9.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NDR
5 - 0
ABB
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 12
NDR
24%
20%
57%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAD
2 - 0
NDR
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NDR
3 - 3
ALA
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NDR
2 - 4
PAM
20%
18%
62%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Madridista 3000 Goles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PEA
0 - 1
ALA
27%
20%
53%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAM
3 - 2
PEA
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PEA
1 - 5
VIL
32%
20%
48%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEA
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEA
2 - 2
VIL
61%
17%
21%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |