Navas de la Concepción vs Guadalcanal C.D analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
51.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas de la Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 2
PEÑ
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LIC
0 - 2
NAV
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 3
CDD
27%
21%
52%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MOS
2 - 1
NAV
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 3
MAI
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 2
ALC
42%
21%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
GUA
21%
20%
60%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
LIC
70%
15%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CDD
4 - 1
GUA
34%
22%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
5 - 2
MOS
39%
21%
40%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |