Navas CD vs Mancha Real AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 0
SAN
41%
24%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
NAV
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 2
CPH
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 1
NAV
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 0
BEA
55%
22%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 2
ADM
51%
23%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ADM
2 - 3
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JOD
2 - 0
ADM
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ADM
0 - 4
TOR
17%
20%
64%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAI
0 - 1
ADM
55%
22%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |