Navarro vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NAI
1 - 1
NAV
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 3
URR
27%
25%
49%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 1
LEN
21%
25%
54%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
TUI
4 - 1
NAV
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 0
UNI
13%
21%
66%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LEA
1 - 0
GIN
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LEA
0 - 0
NAI
65%
20%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
LEA
0 - 0
COV
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
URR
2 - 1
LEA
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LEA
1 - 3
TUI
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |