Naval vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
ACA
3 - 1
NAV
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
NAV
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 1
RIO
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
LEX
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
VST
0 - 1
LEX
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 1
VST
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VST
2 - 1
PAÇ
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VST
0 - 4
SLB
18%
23%
58%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |