Naval vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
NAV
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 1
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 2
NAV
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 1
NAV
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
UNM
2 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 0
UNM
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UNM
0 - 3
MOR
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
UNM
59%
24%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UNM
2 - 2
BEL
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |