Naval vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 2
PAÇ
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
SPB
3 - 1
NAV
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
NAV
0 - 0
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ACA
3 - 0
NAV
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 3
SCP
15%
24%
61%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BMA
1 - 1
MAR
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |