Naval vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
52.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAV
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NAV
2 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NAV
0 - 2
UDL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SCP
0 - 0
NAV
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
FCP
0 - 0
CSK
56%
25%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
EST
0 - 3
FCP
18%
27%
55%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
FCP
2 - 1
UDL
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
VST
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |