Naval vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
57.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 1
RIO
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2008 |
VST
1 - 2
NAV
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 1
EST
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
NAV
4 - 1
BOA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 1
NAV
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCN
62%
23%
16%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SLB
4 - 1
PAÇ
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAC
69%
21%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SLB
1 - 0
FEI
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |