Naval de Talcahuano vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CSD
0 - 1
NTA
51%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NTA
1 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 2
NTA
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NTA
2 - 1
COQ
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
NTA
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
PUE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 3
CUR
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
CON
3 - 3
PUE
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
MAG
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
CSD
0 - 1
PUE
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |