CD Naval vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
TRO
3 - 2
NAV
77%
17%
6%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 2
ALB
15%
24%
61%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
BEZ
1 - 0
NAV
82%
13%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 3
REV
24%
27%
49%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
DEV
7 - 0
NAV
70%
21%
9%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ESC
2 - 0
ALB
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
REV
0 - 4
ESC
34%
29%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
ESC
1 - 2
RAY
62%
22%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
TEX
1 - 2
ESC
39%
29%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ESC
2 - 0
CAS
34%
27%
39%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |