CD Naval vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
NAV
3 - 1
SDE
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
POR
2 - 1
NAV
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
NAV
2 - 1
CDG
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
LAU
2 - 1
NAV
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
NAV
0 - 0
DEU
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
CDU
0 - 0
POR
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
CDG
0 - 1
CDU
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
CDU
2 - 2
LAU
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
DEU
1 - 1
CDU
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
CDU
0 - 3
CDP
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |