Náutico RR vs Baré EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 2
NAU
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAU
92%
7%
2%
|
32 | 74 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
BAR
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 3
VIT
5%
13%
82%
|
31 | 74 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
BAR
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
BAR
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
BAR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 0
ARO
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |