Náutico RR vs Baré EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
ARO
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAU
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
NAU
6 - 1
GAS
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
NAU
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAU
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAR
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAU
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
GAS
1 - 4
BAR
17%
20%
64%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 3
ARO
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
NAU
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |