Náutico vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 1
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 2
SCI
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 1
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
VIT
6 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
VIT
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
VIT
4 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
VIT
4 - 3
BOT
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SCI
0 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |