Náutico vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1980 |
NAU
0 - 1
VAS
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
NAU
1 - 2
COR
38%
30%
32%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
VAS
2 - 2
NAU
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
VIT
1 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
ITA
0 - 5
NAU
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
COR
5 - 0
VIT
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1980 |
VIT
2 - 6
COR
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
VIT
1 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1980 |
VAS
2 - 0
VIT
68%
21%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
GUA
2 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |