Náutico vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
ATP
2 - 0
NAU
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 2
FFL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
CRZ
4 - 2
NAU
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 2
COT
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAU
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 3
ATM
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 3
COT
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
SCI
0 - 1
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
5 - 2
VAS
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2008 |
PAL
4 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |