Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
AFO
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
0 - 1
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
NAU
11%
21%
68%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 0
SAM
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
ACA
67%
22%
12%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 0
CSA
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 1
SAL
17%
25%
58%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPO
15%
23%
63%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |