Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAU
32%
25%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 2
NAU
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
NAU
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 2
ACA
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
6 - 0
TDC
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 0
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 1
POR
47%
25%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAL
5 - 1
ACA
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |