Náutico vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 4
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
AMF
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ICA
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 2
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |