Náutico vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
NAU
15%
19%
66%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 2
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
OPE
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
RFC
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRI
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
GUA
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
SPO
43%
28%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
GUA
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |