Náutico vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRZ
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
NAU
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
OPE
46%
29%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GOI
2 - 1
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |