Náutico vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
REC
4 - 0
NAU
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
SPO
3 - 2
NAU
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 0
ITU
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
NAU
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 2
PAU
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
ITU
0 - 1
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2005 |
BAH
0 - 3
AVA
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
CAX
2 - 1
BAH
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
BAH
0 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |