Náutico vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
5.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAU
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
NAU
5 - 0
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
SAL
18%
26%
57%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
4 - 0
CEN
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEN
82%
14%
4%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 1
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
CEN
63%
23%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |