Náutico vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
BRA
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
VAS
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
NAU
33%
30%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
OES
1 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 1
JEC
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
CEA
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
LUV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
CEA
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |