Náutico vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
NAU
5 - 0
TRE
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
CRB
1 - 2
NAU
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
ARN
2 - 0
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
CRB
3 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TRE
3 - 2
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
1 - 3
SPO
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |