Náutico vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
NAU
0 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
XVD
0 - 0
NAU
37%
29%
35%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1977 |
PAL
3 - 2
NAU
65%
23%
13%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CSA
2 - 0
NAU
33%
30%
38%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
XVD
2 - 0
BOT
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOT
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
CSA
3 - 1
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
BOT
0 - 0
TRE
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRB
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |