Náutico vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 0
CEA
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
NAU
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
NAU
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 0
CRI
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 1
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAM
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
AMF
23%
27%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
AMF
4 - 1
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
AMF
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 0
AMF
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |