Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 3
FLA
44%
28%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
VOL
0 - 0
NAU
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ABC
1 - 1
NAU
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 0
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
ABC
2 - 4
SAN
29%
29%
43%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ABC
1 - 1
NAU
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
ARN
3 - 1
ABC
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |