Naters vs Urania Genève Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BAU
1 - 2
NAT
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NAT
1 - 3
YOU
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FRI
3 - 0
NAT
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAT
5 - 1
MEY
24%
24%
53%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +4 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NAT
0 - 1
DUD
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Urania Genève Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UGS
1 - 1
FCM
65%
19%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
UGS
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
UGS
1 - 3
ECH
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
YVE
2 - 1
UGS
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
UGS
4 - 4
BUL
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |