Næstved vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
4º
3º
27
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 20 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 14 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 14 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 13 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 11 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 8 |
6º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 3
NAE
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
HÄC
5 - 1
NAE
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 3
NAE
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 0
FRE
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 1
ACH
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
HBK
5 - 0
ACH
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 2
HBK
71%
18%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 4
HIL
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
B93
3 - 1
HBK
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 1
HBK
49%
23%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |