Denmark Third Division Promotion Round Round 1

Næstved vs Avarta analysis

Næstved Avarta
62 ELO 57
3.3% Tilt 12.8%
3302º General ELO ranking 6057º
37º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Næstved
23.9%
Draw
22.9%
Avarta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
Næstved
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
Avarta
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Næstved
-32%
-41%
Avarta

ELO progression

Næstved
Avarta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Næstved
Næstved
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2017
HIL
Hillerød
2 - 2
Næstved
NAE
16%
21%
63%
61 40 21 0
28 Oct. 2017
NAE
Næstved
1 - 1
Akademisk Boldklub
AKA
66%
21%
14%
61 53 8 0
21 Oct. 2017
SKO
Skovshoved
2 - 3
Næstved
NAE
27%
24%
48%
61 52 9 0
15 Oct. 2017
NAE
Næstved
2 - 0
B93
B93
58%
23%
20%
60 55 5 +1
08 Oct. 2017
NAE
Næstved
1 - 0
Frem 1886
FRE
60%
22%
18%
60 54 6 0

Matches

Avarta
Avarta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2017
GRE
Greve IF
1 - 1
Avarta
AVA
28%
24%
48%
57 48 9 0
28 Oct. 2017
AVA
Avarta
1 - 1
Kolding IF
KOL
42%
25%
33%
57 57 0 0
21 Oct. 2017
MAR
Marienlyst
3 - 4
Avarta
AVA
47%
24%
29%
57 57 0 0
14 Oct. 2017
MID
Middelfart
2 - 0
Avarta
AVA
42%
24%
34%
58 55 3 -1
08 Oct. 2017
AVA
Avarta
3 - 0
Næsby BK
NAS
71%
18%
11%
58 42 16 0