Danish Superliga Title Play-off Round 3

Næstved vs AGF Aarhus analysis

Næstved AGF Aarhus
66 ELO 79
18.6% Tilt 12.2%
3271º General ELO ranking 307º
37º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.8%
Næstved
26.5%
Draw
30.7%
AGF Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
Næstved
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.8%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Næstved
-26%
-14%
AGF Aarhus

ELO progression

Næstved
AGF Aarhus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Næstved
Næstved
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 1993
OBK
Odense BK
2 - 0
Næstved
NAE
71%
18%
12%
67 76 9 0
21 Mar. 1993
NAE
Næstved
1 - 1
Aalborg BK
AAB
42%
27%
31%
67 80 13 0
29 Nov. 1992
NAE
Næstved
2 - 2
Frem 1886
FRE
51%
24%
25%
67 72 5 0
22 Nov. 1992
AAB
Aalborg BK
1 - 1
Næstved
NAE
71%
19%
11%
67 80 13 0
15 Nov. 1992
NAE
Næstved
2 - 3
AGF Aarhus
AGF
44%
27%
30%
67 79 12 0

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 1993
FCK
Kobenhavn
3 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
63%
20%
18%
79 82 3 0
21 Mar. 1993
AGF
AGF Aarhus
2 - 2
Odense BK
OBK
53%
26%
21%
79 76 3 0
29 Nov. 1992
FCK
Kobenhavn
3 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
60%
21%
20%
79 81 2 0
22 Nov. 1992
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 0
Silkeborg IF
SIF
53%
23%
25%
79 78 1 0
15 Nov. 1992
NAE
Næstved
2 - 3
AGF Aarhus
AGF
44%
27%
30%
79 67 12 0