Næstved II vs Korup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NAS
2 - 2
DOL
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAE
4 - 1
NAS
25%
22%
54%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 3
NAS
33%
22%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NAS
1 - 1
HER
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SON
0 - 6
NAS
15%
18%
67%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Korup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KOR
0 - 3
SYD
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DOL
4 - 1
KOR
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KOR
1 - 1
FRE
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NAE
1 - 0
KOR
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KOR
0 - 8
MID
12%
18%
70%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -2 |