Nasarawa United vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
27.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasarawa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ENU
1 - 0
NAS
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NAS
1 - 0
WIK
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
NAS
1 - 0
BAY
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
KWA
1 - 0
NAS
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BAY
1 - 0
NAS
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
WIK
1 - 0
HEA
48%
29%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
HEA
1 - 0
SHA
48%
29%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
LOB
1 - 1
HEA
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
HEA
2 - 0
JGS
54%
27%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
HEA
2 - 0
LOB
44%
30%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |